Herding during COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical study in Vietnamese stock market
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15549/jeecar.v10i7.1322Keywords:
Herd behavior, Covid-19, VietnamAbstract
This paper investigates herd behavior in the Vietnam stock market under the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using Chang et al.’s (2000) method on two sets of daily and weekly trading data ranging from January 2018 to December 2021, we provide evidence about the presence of herd behavior during the global health crisis but not in the period prior to the outbreak of COVID-19. In addition, the regression analysis of a modified model implies that the tendency of herding among investors in the Vietnam stock market became more prevalent as the pandemic became more severe and the government measures to mitigate the pandemic turned out to be more stringent. These findings suggest that Vietnamese regulators may help to stop or mitigate the impact of any potential stock market crashes and that new investors need to acquire more knowledge about the market and skills for investing.
References
Andrikopoulos P., Niklewski J., Rodgers T. (2016). Chapter 9 - The Portfolio Diversification Benefits of Frontier Markets: An Investigation Into Regional Effects, Handbook of Frontier Markets, Academic Press, Pages 163-192. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-809200-2.00009-9
Aslam, F., Aslam, F., Ferreira, P., Ali, H., & Kauser, S. (2021). Herding behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic: A comparison between Asian and European stock markets based on intraday multifractality. Eurasian Economic Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-021-00191-4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-021-00191-4
Avery, C., & Zemsky, P. (1998). Multidimensional Uncertainty and Herd Behavior in Financial Markets. American Economic Review, 724-748. doi:10.2307/117003.
Berger, D., Pukthuanthong, K., & Yang, J. J. (2011). International diversification with frontier markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 101(1), 227-242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.02.009 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.02.009
Bogdan, S., Suštar, N., & Draženović, B. O. (2022). Herding Behavior in Developed, Emerging, and Frontier European Stock Markets during COVID-19 Pandemic. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15090400 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15090400
Chang, E. C., Cheng, J. W., & Khorana, A. (2000). An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(10), 1651-1679. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5
Christie, W. G., & Huang, R. D. (1995). Following the Pied Piper: Do Individual Returns Herd around the Market? Financial Analysts Journal, 51(4), 31-37. https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v51.n4.1918 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v51.n4.1918
Espinosa-Méndez, C., Arias, J., & Arias, J. (2020). Herding Behaviour in Asutralian stock market: Evidence on COVID-19 effect. Applied Economics Letters. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854659 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854659
Espinosa-Méndez, C. & Arias, J. (2021). COVID-19 effect on herding behaviour in European capital markets, Finance Research Letters, 38, 101787. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101787 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101787
Fang, H., Chung, C.-P., Lee, Y.-H., Lee, Y.-H., & Yang, X. (2021). The Effect of COVID-19 on Herding Behavior in Eastern European Stock Markets. Frontiers in Public Health. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.695931 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.695931
Ferreruela, S., & Mallor, T. (2021). Herding in the bad times: The 2008 and COVID-19 crises. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 58, 101531. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101531 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101531
Ghorbel, A., Snene, Y., & Frikha, W. (2022). Does herding behavior explain the contagion of the COVID-19 crisis? Review of Behavioral Finance. https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-12-2021-0263 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-12-2021-0263
Girard, E., & Sinha, A. (2008). Risk and Return in the Next Frontier. Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 7(1), 43–80. https://doi.org/10.1177/097265270700700103 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/097265270700700103
Gosh, S. (2022). COVID-19, clean energy stock market, interest rate, oil prices, volatility index, geopolitical risk nexus: evidence from quantile regression. Journal of Economics and Development, 24 (4), 329-344. https://doi.org/10.1108/JED-04-2022-0073 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JED-04-2022-0073
Kizys, R., Tzouvanas, P., & Donadelli, M. (2020). From COVID-19 Herd Immunity to Investor Herding in International Stock Markets: The Role of Government and Regulatory Restrictions. International Review of Financial Analysis, 74, 101663. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3597354. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101663
Le, H. (2020). Stock market 2020: a rollercoaster year that ends happily. https://e.vnexpress.net/news/business/economy/stock-market-2020-a-rollercoaster-year-that-ends-happily-4209818.html
Luu, Q. T., Luong, H. T. T., & Luong, H. T. T. (2020). Herding behavior in emerging and frontier stock markets during pandemic influenza panics. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no9.147. DOI: https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no9.147
Mishra, P. K., Mishra, P. K., Mishra, S., & Mishra, S. K. (2021). Do Banking and Financial Services Sectors Show Herding Behaviour in Indian Stock Market Amid COVID-19 Pandemic? Insights from Quantile Regression Approach. Millennial Asia. https://doi.org/10.1177/09763996211032356 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/09763996211032356
Phan, H. M., & Dam, V. D. H. (2023). COVID-19 outbreak and the global stock market liquidity. Journal of Governance & Regulation, 12(3), 25–33. https://doi.org/10.22495/jgrv12i3art3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.22495/jgrv12i3art3
Pochea, M. (2021). Intentional and spurious herding during unconventional events and high sentiments. Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3948847 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3948847
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The journal of finance, 19(3), 425-442. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x
Spyrou, S. (2013). Herding in financial markets: a review of the literature. Review of Behavioral Finance, 5(2), 175-194. https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-02-2013-0009. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-02-2013-0009
Vietnamnet Global (2022). Individual investors dominate stock market in 2022. https://vietnamnet.vn/en/individual-investors-dominate-stock-market-in-2022-811686.html
Vo, X. V., & Phan, D. B. (2017). Further evidence on the herd behavior in Vietnam stock market. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 13, 33-41. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2017.02.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2017.02.003
Wu, G., Yang, B., & Zhao, N. (2020). Herding Behavior in Chinese Stock Markets during COVID-19. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496x.2020.1855138 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1855138
Yuan, H. (2021). Herding Effect in China’s A Share Stock Market under COVID-19 Pandemic. Null. https://doi.org/10.1145/3457640.3457662 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1145/3457640.3457662
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Vu Duc Hieu Dam, Hong Mai PHAN Phan, Thi Nhu Quynh Le, Thi Hoai Linh Truong, Quoc Anh Le
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The JEECAR journal allows the author(s) to hold the copyright and publishing rights of their own manuscript without restrictions.
This journal applies the Creative Attribution Common License to works we publish, and allows reuse and remixing of its content, in accordance with a CC-BY 4.0 license.
Authors are free to: Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format and Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially.
Under the following terms: Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
No additional restrictions — The author may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
The JEECAR Journal is committed to the editorial principles of all aspects of publication ethics and publication malpractice as assigned by the Committee on Public Ethics.