Does public investment stimulate economic growth in Vietnam? An ARDL approach to test Keynes's theories

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15549/jeecar.v10i2.1155

Keywords:

Public investment, private investment, foreign investment, economic growth, Vietnam

Abstract

The short- and long-term effects of public investment on economic growth continue to be vigorously debated worldwide and in Vietnam. This study employs the ARDL model to analyze the effect of public investment on Vietnam's economic development during the years 1995 to 2019 in order to augment empirical evidence on this topic. Research results show that growth in public investment, private investment and foreign investment all have a positive impact on economic growth in the long run. However, the short-term effect of public investment has not been confirmed. Similarly, the effect of public investment on economic growth is less than that of private investment. Based on empirical analysis, policy recommendations for improving the effectiveness of public investment in Vietnam are proposed.

Author Biography

Manh Hung Pham, Research & Consulting Department, Bank Research Institute, Banking Academy of Vietnam

Dr. Manh Hung Pham is currently working as an economics researcher and lecturer at Research & Consulting Division, Banking Academy of Vietnam.

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Published

2023-03-04

How to Cite

Pham, M. H. (2023). Does public investment stimulate economic growth in Vietnam? An ARDL approach to test Keynes’s theories. Journal of Eastern European and Central Asian Research (JEECAR), 10(2), 301–310. https://doi.org/10.15549/jeecar.v10i2.1155